ACUS11 KWNS 190657

SWOMCD

SPC MCD 190657 

MOZ000-KSZ000-190830-



Mesoscale Discussion 2036

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0157 AM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026



Areas affected...Northeast Kansas...west-central Missouri



Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 598...



Valid 190657Z - 190830Z



The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 598

continues.



SUMMARY...The severe wind and hail threat continues within Severe

Thunderstorm Watch 598.  Additionally, a localized severe threat

will exist with a compact line segment of storms east of the watch

over central Missouri.



DISCUSSION...Strong/severe thunderstorms continue within a

WNW-ESE-oriented zone across northeast KS and west-central MO at

0645z, with recent reports of golfball-sized hail and severe gusts. 

The storms persist within a zone of strong low-level warm/moist

advection, moderate MUCAPE averaging 1500 - 2000 J/kg, and 45-50 kts

of effective shear.  Given this environment, a combination of both

supercell and multicell cluster storm modes is likely continue

through 09z with an attendant risk for large hail and damaging

gusts.



Downstream, a compact line segment of storms was moving into central

MO southwest of Jefferson City. These storms were along the northern

fringe of a steeper mid-level lapse rate plume and within a gradient

in MUCAPE of 1000 to 1500 J/kg.  While some severe risk is expected

to continue with this line of storms, the overall longevity is

uncertain and a watch in this area is not currently expected.



..Bunting/Mosier.. 08/19/2026



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...



ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TOP...



LAT...LON   39529590 39449493 39109361 38499179 38029184 37739186

            37629263 38039429 38209481 38879528 39309588 39529590 



MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH

MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN