ACUS11 KWNS 190337

SWOMCD

SPC MCD 190337 

MOZ000-KSZ000-190400-



Mesoscale Discussion 2033

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

1037 PM CDT Tue Aug 18 2026



Areas affected...portions of northeastern Kansas into western

Missouri



Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 598...



Valid 190337Z - 190400Z



The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 598

continues.



SUMMARY...A swath of damaging to occasionally severe gusts is

becoming increasingly likely along the KS/MO border, including the

Kansas City Metropolitan area. A few nearby supercell structures may

also pose an occasional risk for severe hail.



DISCUSSION...An MCS is organizing over northeastern KS, with KEAX

reflectivity and velocity data depicting the potential for

hydrometeor loading given large merging cores. As a result, several

severe gusts have been observed over the last 30 minutes. The

current thinking is that appreciable outflow with these storms will

yield a damaging to occasionally severe wind swath along the KS/MO

border despite the decoupled boundary layer in place. These storms

will pass over the Kansas City Metropolitan area over the next hour

or so, accompanied by gusts occasionally exceeding 60 mph. Transient

supercells are also flanking this MCS to the southwest with deeper

cores, which may favor a few instances of severe hail as well.



..Squitieri.. 08/19/2026



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...



ATTN...WFO...EAX...TOP...



LAT...LON   39519646 39309408 39019360 38529354 38289392 38299489

            38449560 38829650 39519646 



MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH

MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN