ABPW10 PGTW 210700

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH

PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/210700Z-220600ZJUN2026//

REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/210151ZJUN2026//

AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//

RMKS/

1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):

   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:

      (1) AT 21JUN26 0000Z, TROPICAL STORM 07W (MEKKHALA) WAS LOCATED

NEAR 15.4N 133.0E, APPROXIMATELY 727 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB,

AND HAD TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70

KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 210300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.

   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:

      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 13.0N

152.2E, APPROXIMATELY 441 NM EAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED

MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS FLARING CONVECTION

ASSOCIATED WITH A POORLY DEFINED BUT CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION

CENTER (LLCC) WITH ASSOCIATED BURSTS OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER.

ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THIS AREA REVEALS A FAVORABLE AREA FOR

DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (5-10 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (29-30 C) SEA

SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW IN THE UPPER LEVELS.

GLOBAL ENSEMBLES ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH VERY SLOW DEVELOPMENT AND

INTENSIFICATION IN THE NEAR TERM AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS NORTHWESTWARD.

GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS SHOW VERY MINIMAL DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM,

WITH THE EXCEPTION OF ECMWF SHOWING ELEVATED WINDS FOR A SHORT PERIOD

BEFORE WEAKENING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO

18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB.

THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE

WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.

   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):

   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.

   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.

   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1).//

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